08. Jun 2016 1475 Views

Economist Insights – Outside chances

Joshua McCallum – Head of Fixed Income Economics

Last Friday’s US payroll figures have sent the likelihood of a June rate hike by the Fed pretty well back to zero.  But as ever, we can’t hope to understand the implications of one piece of data by looking at it in isolation. Might that data simply have been a statistical anomaly? The laws of probability would suggest the odds are it is. To find a meaningful answer we need to support probability with more information and once we do that, a lone low number may not be as troubling. …


Zurück Noch länger niedrig – von Michele Gambera, PhD, CFA
Nächste Invesco Pan European High Income Fund